Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Nicolella V. (Ita)


	Francesco Maestrelli		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.76	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
46.5%

Andrea Pellegrino
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pellegrino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maestrelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maestrelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Radu Albot	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Federico Coria - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
04.06.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
04.07.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Gabriele Piraino - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
02.07.24	August Holmgren - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
03.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2
04.04.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2

Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide