Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Alexei Popyrin		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.75	Watch
	2.17	1.77
	2.17	1.78
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
43.8%

Fabian Marozsan
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	0%	73.5%

Alexei Popyrin - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Marozsan will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Popyrin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marozsan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Marozsan to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Alexei Popyrin - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
23.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WW??L
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
06.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled

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