The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexei Popyrin 50.3%
Gianluca Mager 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexei Popyrin's form might have worsened.
Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Mager's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
49.2%
0%
50.8%
Alexei Popyrin - Gianluca Mager Predictions
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 31 - 49.2%). Mager will win (votes: 32 - 50.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 38.5% – 63.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Popyrin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Mager is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Watch
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