Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)


	Alexei Popyrin		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	4.75
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	5.64
	1.18	5.64
	1.2	4.5
	1.19	4.8	Watch
	1.18	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.36)	5.03 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
81%

Marc Polmans
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alexei Popyrin - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polmans is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polmans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Popyrin is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Adelaide
08.01.24	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Alexei Popyrin - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
26.11.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
24.11.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWLW
- Marc Polmans
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
12.01.24	Marc Polmans - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Jannik Sinner - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Enzo Couacaud - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Marc Polmans - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Giovanni Fonio - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kooyong Classic
09.01.19	Alexei Popyrin - Marc Polmans	1:2
ATP Challenger
25.09.18	Marc Polmans - Alexei Popyrin	0:2

Alexei Popyrin - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide