Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DAVIS CUP - WORLD GROUP (WORLD) - PLAY OFFS

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Alexei Popyrin		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.75	2.05
	1.76	2.13
	1.78	2.12
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.76)	2.07 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
54.1%

Matteo Arnaldi
45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alexei Popyrin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Matteo Arnaldi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
07.11.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
20.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 W?LLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2
ATP Umag
29.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin	1:2

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