Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Alexei Popyrin		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.77	2.18
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	2.13 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
55.1%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 139. Tirante is ranked ATP: 65.

Recent performances by Popyrin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tirante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Kokkinakis T. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Andres Andrade - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?LL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Duncan Chan - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tabilo A. Walkover ✺
16.07.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WW?WW

Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide