Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Raphael Collignon		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.45
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.72	2.13
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
59.8%

Alexei Popyrin
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Raphael Collignon will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 38. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collignon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Kokkinakis T. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Andres Andrade - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Jan Choinski - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
16.06.26	Alexei Popyrin - Raphael Collignon	0:2

Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide