Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.10	Watch
	1.73	2.08	Watch
	1.79	2.14
	1.75	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.71	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
54.9%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Tirante will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Tabilo (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31. Tirante is ranked ATP: 61.

Tabilo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tirante's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.76%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Bastad
16.07.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Fabian Marozsan	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Toby Samuel - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2
ATP Cordoba
30.01.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

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