Match Info

Date: 6 July 2021, Tuesday


	Alexey Vatutin		Alexander Erler

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.21	1.57
	2.31	1.63
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
40.9%

Alexander Erler
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Alexander Erler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexey Vatutin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Erler than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Erler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexey Vatutin - Alexander Erler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Erler is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erler will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
05.07.21	Denis Yevseyev - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Benedikt Emesz - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
21.06.21	Hugo Grenier - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
15.06.21	Carlos Taberner - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
08.06.21	Facundo Bagnis - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Alexander Erler
ATP Challenger
05.07.21	Jeroen Vanneste - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
04.07.21	Sadio Doumbia - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.06.21	Alexander Erler - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
23.06.21	Alexander Erler - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.21	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Erler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Alexey Vatutin - Alexander Erler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide