Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Alexey Vatutin		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
			Watch
	4	1.2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.29	1.23
	4.29	1.23
	4	1.22
	4.05	1.21	Watch
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.2)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
22.8%

Andrea Vavassori
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Vavassori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Vavassori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Vatutin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vavassori is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vatutin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vavassori is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
27.11.23	Alexey Vatutin - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Alexey Vatutin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Leopold Zima - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
22.11.23	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Tom Paris - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
21.11.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Andrea Vavassori - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Jack Draper - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
31.10.23	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.23	Andrea Vavassori - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide