Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Koblenz (Germany), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday


	Alexey Vatutin		Jakub Paul

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.79
	2.01	1.77
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
46.1%

Jakub Paul
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Paul will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 324. Paul is ranked ATP: 385.

Vatutin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paul is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Alexey Vatutin - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Gianluca Mager - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alexey Vatutin - Egor Gerasimov	Vatutin A. retired ✺
05.01.25	Alexey Vatutin - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWL?W
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Daniel Masur - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
27.01.25	Christoph Negritu - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Jakub Paul - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Jakub Paul - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide