Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Angers (France), clay (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Alexey Vatutin		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.45	2.69
	1.45	2.69
	1.44	2.62
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)	2.6 ↓ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
64.1%

Lilian Marmousez
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vatutin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marmousez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vatutin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Simon Reveniau	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
25.04.24	Lilian Marmousez - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Benjamin Martin - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Lilian Marmousez - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Mischa Lanz - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Yshai Oliel - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Alexey Vatutin - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide