Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Antwerp (Belgium) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Alexey Vatutin		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.85)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
40.8%

Manuel Guinard
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manuel Guinard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Guinard will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 352. Guinard is ranked ATP: 287.

Vatutin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guinard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Manuel Guinard - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Antwerp
13.10.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Alexey Vatutin - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Gregoire Barrere - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Alexey Vatutin - Stuart Parker	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Alexey Vatutin - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Antwerp
13.10.24	Michael Geerts - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	August Holmgren - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Lucas Poullain - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.02.19	Manuel Guinard - Alexey Vatutin	0:2

Alexey Vatutin - Manuel Guinard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide