Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Alexey Vatutin		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	2.22 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
58.2%

Tiago Pereira
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexey Vatutin's performance.

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiago Pereira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+5%)

Alexey Vatutin - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Vatutin (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vatutin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 333. Pereira is ranked ATP: 409.

Vatutin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francisco Rocha - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Marco Cecchinato - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Siddhant Banthia - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Tiago Pereira - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Patrick Zahraj - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Valentin Royer - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Alexey Vatutin - Tiago Pereira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide