Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Alexis Galarneau		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.94
	1.11	5.64	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	3.1 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
69.1%

Andre Ilagan
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andre Ilagan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Ilagan (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%). Ilagan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 236. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 361.

Galarneau is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilagan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Jack Kennedy	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Karlis Ozolins	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Jaime Faria - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Cannon Kingsley - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Andre Ilagan - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Andre Ilagan - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide