Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Alexis Galarneau		Edward Winter

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.38	3.21
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	2.9 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
67.8%

Edward Winter
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edward Winter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alexis Galarneau - Edward Winter Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Winter (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%). Winter (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 230. Winter is ranked ATP: 494.

Galarneau is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Winter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Galarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Edward Winter - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Edward Winter - Ryan Dickerson	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Arthur Fery - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Dan Martin - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL

Alexis Galarneau - Edward Winter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide