Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Alexis Gautier		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.68
	2.15	1.68
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.38)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Gautier
43.7%

Guy Den Ouden
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Gautier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Gautier's performance.

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guy Den Ouden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Gautier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guy Den Ouden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Gautier is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Den Ouden is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Den Ouden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Den Ouden to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Gautier
ITF Tournaments
04.01.24	Ryan James Storrie - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
02.01.24	Raphael Calzi - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
15.12.23	Michael Zhu - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
13.12.23	Etienne Donnet - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Bogdan Bobrov - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Guy Den Ouden
ITF Tournaments
10.12.23	Jakub Paul - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Paul Jubb - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
08.12.23	Mark Wallner - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
07.12.23	Sebastian Sorger - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
06.12.23	Attila Boros - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Alexis Gautier - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide