Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Alexis Gautier		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
			Watch
	2.31	1.54
	2.25	1.61
	2.28	1.54	Watch
			Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.57	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.65)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Gautier
39.6%

Harry Wendelken
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Gautier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Gautier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harry Wendelken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexis Gautier - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gautier will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Wendelken will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gautier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gautier is ranked ATP: 617. Wendelken is ranked ATP: 458.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gautier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wendelken might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Gautier
ITF Tournaments
27.09.25	Calvin Mueller - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Sydney Zick - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Maximilian Oezcelik - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Jeremy Schifris - Alexis Gautier	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Karl Friberg - Alexis Gautier	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWW?
- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Harry Wendelken - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Harry Wendelken - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Martin Sabas - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Timeo Trufelli - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Alexis Gautier - Harry Wendelken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide