The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexis Gautier 56.8%
Lilian Marmousez 43.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.6%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Gautier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Gautier's form might have worsened.
Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Gautier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Gautier is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Marmousez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gautier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.