Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Alfredo Perez		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.9	1.2	Watch
	4.55	1.15	Watch
	4.63	1.18
			Watch
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.26	1.2	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.05)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
22.4%

Leandro Riedi
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfredo Perez's form might have worsened.

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro Riedi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alfredo Perez - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Perez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Riedi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 382. Riedi is ranked ATP: 503.

In recent matches, Perez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Riedi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Alfredo Perez - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Alfredo Perez - Keshav Chopra	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Andrew Fenty - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Kyle Overmyer - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Keshav Chopra - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Oliver Tarvet - Leandro Riedi	3:0 ✺
26.06.25	Hamish Stewart - Leandro Riedi	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Leandro Riedi - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Leandro Riedi - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Alfredo Perez - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide