Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.60	1.29	Watch
	3.13	1.33	Watch
	3.65	1.3
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.08)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
26.5%

Diana Shnaider
73.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Sasnovich (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Diana Shnaider will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sasnovich (votes: 1 - 50%). Shnaider (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 112., and Shnaider is ranked WTA: 13..

Sasnovich is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Shnaider have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Shnaider could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Shnaider for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sasnovich has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Tokyo
27.10.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
24.10.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
23.10.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Ningbo
21.10.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Ningbo
24.10.26	Elena Rybakina - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
23.10.26	Iva Jovic - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Alexandra Eala - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Yulia Putintseva - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
15.10.26	Diana Shnaider - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Budapest
21.07.24	Diana Shnaider - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0
WTA Doha
10.02.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Diana Shnaider	0:2
WTA Beijing
29.09.23	Diana Shnaider - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Canceled

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diana Shnaider
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Alexandra Eala - Diana Shnaider	✺

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Diana Shnaider