Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Heather Watson

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.95	1.78
	1.87	1.83
	1.98	1.85
	1.96	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.92	1.85	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
49.1%

Heather Watson
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Heather Watson Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Watson will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sasnovich: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 101. Watson is ranked WTA: 191.

Recent matches Sasnovich is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watson is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sasnovich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sasnovich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA US Open
19.08.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Xiyu Wang - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
23.07.24	Mirra Andreeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Budapest
21.07.24	Diana Shnaider - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- Heather Watson
WTA US Open
19.08.24	Heather Watson - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Heather Watson - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
13.08.24	Kimberly Birrell - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Manon Leonard - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Mingge Xu - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.03.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Heather Watson	Canceled
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.21	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Heather Watson	1:2

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