Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Maria Mateas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.07	6.75
			Watch
			Watch
	1.08	7.5
			Watch
	1.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.85)	5.37 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80.1%

Maria Mateas
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Maria Mateas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Mateas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (+27.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Mateas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Mateas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 105. Mateas is ranked WTA: 213.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mateas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Maria Mateas - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Tatiana Prozorova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Chloe Paquet - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Julie Belgraver - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Katerina Siniakova	Sasnovich A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLW?
- Maria Mateas
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Robin Anderson - Maria Mateas	2:1 ✺
WTA Rabat
22.05.25	Maria Mateas - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Arantxa Rus - Maria Mateas	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Maria Mateas - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Maria Mateas - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLWW?

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