Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.6
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.97
	1.25	3.77	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.26	3.76	Watch
	1.24	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	3.69 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
74.6%

Lucrezia Stefanini
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sasnovich (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stefanini (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Aliaksandra Sasnovich will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 107. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 153.

Sasnovich is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stefanini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sasnovich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sasnovich is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sasnovich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Tatiana Prozorova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Chloe Paquet - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Julie Belgraver - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Katerina Siniakova	Sasnovich A. walkover ✺
12.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLW?W
- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Roland Garros
19.05.25	Manon Leonard - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
07.05.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Aleksandra Krunic - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Teodora Kostovic - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0

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