Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Veronika Erjavec

	1	2
	1.2	4.33
	1.18	4.5
	1.19	4.2	Watch
	1.18	5
	1.19	5
	1.22	4
	1.17	4.86	Watch
	1.18	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)	4.5 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
79.1%

Veronika Erjavec
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Veronika Erjavec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veronika Erjavec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaksandra Sasnovich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veronika Erjavec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Veronika Erjavec Predictions

Users Predictions: Aliaksandra Sasnovich will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Erjavec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sasnovich is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Berlin
16.06.24	Xin Yu Wang - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Aleksandra Krunic - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Jessica Pegula - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Tereza Martincova	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Bibiane Schoofs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- Veronika Erjavec
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Veronika Erjavec - Alice Rame	Erjavec V. retired ✺
28.05.24	Veronika Erjavec - Lina Glushko	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.24	Veronika Erjavec - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Claire Liu - Veronika Erjavec	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.24	Veronika Erjavec - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ?WLWL

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