Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Claire Liu		Veronika Erjavec

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.77	2.01
	1.75	2.12
	1.69	2.14	Watch
	1.72	2.08	Watch
	2.33	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.61)	1.99 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Claire Liu
52%

Veronika Erjavec
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Claire Liu's performance.

Veronika Erjavec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veronika Erjavec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Claire Liu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veronika Erjavec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Claire Liu - Veronika Erjavec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liu will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Erjavec will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liu: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Liu (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Liu is ranked WTA: 374. Erjavec is ranked WTA: 140.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Liu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Liu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Claire Liu
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Claire Liu - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Claire Liu - Nao Hibino	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Claire Liu - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Claire Liu - Carlota Martinez Cirez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Veronika Erjavec
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Cadence Brace - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Maria Timofeeva - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Tamara Zidansek - Veronika Erjavec	Erjavec V. walkover ✺
31.07.25	Carole Monnet - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
20.05.24	Claire Liu - Veronika Erjavec	1:2

Claire Liu - Veronika Erjavec: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide