Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto (Portugal), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)


	Alibek Kachmazov		Arthur Reymond

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.25 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
71%

Arthur Reymond
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alibek Kachmazov's performance.

Arthur Reymond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Reymond might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Reymond than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Reymond could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alibek Kachmazov - Arthur Reymond Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 261. Reymond is ranked ATP: 847.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kachmazov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kachmazov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Max Wiskandt	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Daniel Masur - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Arthur Reymond
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Renzo Olivo - Arthur Reymond	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Lucas Poullain - Arthur Reymond	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Arthur Reymond - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Arthur Reymond - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Miguel Damas - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLL

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