Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Marius Copil

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.66	2.19
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
57.6%

Marius Copil
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Marius Copil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marius Copil than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Alibek Kachmazov - Marius Copil Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Copil will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copil: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Copil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kachmazov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
25.06.23	Alibek Kachmazov - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Milos Karol - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Sandro Kopp - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.06.23	Martin Landaluce - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Marius Copil
ATP Challenger
25.06.23	Luca Parenti - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Marius Copil - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Antoine Escoffier - Marius Copil	0:2 ✺
12.06.23	Marius Copil - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Marius Copil - Gabriel Evans	Copil M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWL?

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