Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Alice Tubello		Matilde Paoletti

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.44	1.47
	2.61	1.45
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.44	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.07)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
37%

Matilde Paoletti
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alice Tubello's form might have worsened.

Matilde Paoletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Paoletti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alice Tubello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Paoletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alice Tubello - Matilde Paoletti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tubello is ranked WTA: 224. Paoletti is ranked WTA: 837.

Recent matches Tubello is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paoletti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paoletti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paoletti will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Paoletti to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Alice Tubello - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Anastasia Kulikova - Alice Tubello	Tubello A. retired ✺
03.10.24	Diana Martynov - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Olga Helmi - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Alice Tubello - Carolina Kuhl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WWL
- Matilde Paoletti
ITF Tournaments
06.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Sara Cakarevic	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Lilli Tagger - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Camilla Gennaro - Matilde Paoletti	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Matilde Paoletti - Tatiana Pieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW

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