Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alice Tubello		Mona Barthel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.12	1.68
	2.12	1.65
	2.16	1.72
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.76)	1.67 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
43.7%

Mona Barthel
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alice Tubello's performance.

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mona Barthel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alice Tubello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mona Barthel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alice Tubello - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tubello will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barthel will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barthel: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tubello is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barthel is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barthel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ITF Tournaments
13.05.23	Ipek Oz - Alice Tubello	2:1 ✺
12.05.23	Alice Tubello - Martha Matoula	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Alice Tubello - Karolina Kozakova	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Alice Tubello - Kaylah McPhee	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Alice Tubello - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
04.05.23	Jaimee Fourlis - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
02.05.23	Mona Barthel - Anna Klasen	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Sada Nahimana - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.23	Mona Barthel - Ylena In-Albon	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.23	Nigina Abduraimova - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

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