Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Alice Tubello		Silvia Ambrosio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.97
	1.55	2.27	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.08)	2 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Tubello
53.5%

Silvia Ambrosio
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Tubello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alice Tubello's performance.

Silvia Ambrosio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Silvia Ambrosio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alice Tubello than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alice Tubello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silvia Ambrosio than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Silvia Ambrosio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alice Tubello - Silvia Ambrosio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tubello is ranked WTA: 712. Ambrosio is ranked WTA: 256.

Tubello is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ambrosio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tubello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Ambrosio will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Silvia Ambrosio - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Tubello
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Margaux Rouvroy - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Sofia Shapatava - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Alice Tubello - Amelie Van Impe	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Veronika Podrez - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Alice Tubello - Laura Mair	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Silvia Ambrosio
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Sarah Iliev - Silvia Ambrosio	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Antonia Schmidt - Silvia Ambrosio	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Josy Daems - Silvia Ambrosio	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Loes Ebeling Koning	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

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