Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Quinta do Lago, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Alicia Dudeney		Katie Swan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.35
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.4
	2.9	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.46)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alicia Dudeney
32.8%

Katie Swan
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alicia Dudeney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Katie Swan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alicia Dudeney than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alicia Dudeney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Swan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alicia Dudeney - Katie Swan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dudeney is ranked WTA: 251., and Swan is ranked WTA: 200..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Dudeney could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Swan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alicia Dudeney
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Linda Klimovicova - Alicia Dudeney	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Kira Pavlova - Alicia Dudeney	Pavlova K. Retired ✺
07.08.26	Sonja Zhiyenbayeva - Alicia Dudeney	Dudeney A. Retired ✺
06.08.26	Camilla Zanolini - Alicia Dudeney	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Ekaterina Yashina - Alicia Dudeney	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W??WW
- Katie Swan
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Elena Malygina - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Reese Brantmeier - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Katie Swan	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Valentina Steiner - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Erika Andreeva - Katie Swan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLW?

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