Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Mia Pohankova		Katie Swan

	1	2
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.85	1.91
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.96
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.85	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mia Pohankova
51.3%

Katie Swan
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mia Pohankova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Katie Swan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Pohankova than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Mia Pohankova - Katie Swan Predictions

Users Predictions: Mia Pohankova will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pohankova is ranked WTA: 212., and Swan is ranked WTA: 208..

Pohankova has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Swan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pohankova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mia Pohankova
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Veronika Podrez - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Katie Swan
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Valentina Steiner - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Erika Andreeva - Katie Swan	Canceled ✺
22.09.26	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Kylie Collins - Katie Swan	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Katie Swan	Swan K. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?W??

Mia Pohankova - Katie Swan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide