Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Alina Charaeva		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
			Watch
	2.02	1.82
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
46.7%

Himeno Sakatsume
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alina Charaeva - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sakatsume will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charaeva: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakatsume (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Charaeva (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sakatsume (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 151. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 197.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Alina Charaeva - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Veronika Erjavec - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alina Charaeva - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW
- Himeno Sakatsume
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Varvara Gracheva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Olivia Gadecki	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Rasheeda Mcadoo	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Himeno Sakatsume - Claire Liu	Canceled ✺
25.09.25	Kayla Day - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLW?L

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