Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Mai Hontama		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2.5	1.47
	2.41	1.59
	2.17	1.64	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
38.8%

Alina Charaeva
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Charaeva (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 182. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 159.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Charaeva might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Mai Hontama - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Mai Hontama - Meiling Wang	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Mai Hontama - Ekaterina Reyngold	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Kristina Penickova - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Diletta Cherubini - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	En Shuo Liang - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maria Timofeeva - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Xinyu Gao - Alina Charaeva	Charaeva A. walkover ✺
03.09.25	Alina Charaeva - Zhibek Kulambayeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWL?W

Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide