Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Alina Charaeva		Nao Hibino

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2	1.84
	2	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	1.93	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.15)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
47.2%

Nao Hibino
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Nao Hibino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nao Hibino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hibino will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 50%). Hibino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163. Hibino is ranked WTA: 196.

Recent performances by Charaeva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hibino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hibino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Hibino will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
31.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Alina Charaeva - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
11.01.26	Rebeka Masarova - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL
- Nao Hibino
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Nao Hibino - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Carolyn Ansari - Nao Hibino	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Nao Hibino - Lin Zhu	Hibino N. retired ✺
11.02.26	Nao Hibino - Erika Sema	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Nao Hibino - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?WW

Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide