Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Alina Charaeva		Xiaodi You

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.42	2.96
	1.53	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)	2.37 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
60.2%

Xiaodi You
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.

Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xiaodi You might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xiaodi You could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - You (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. You (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163. You is ranked WTA: 253.

Charaeva is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

You has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

You may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
31.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Alina Charaeva - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
11.01.26	Rebeka Masarova - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Xiaodi You
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Lia Karatancheva - Xiaodi You	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Xiaodi You - Ena Koike	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Xiaodi You - Whitney Osuigwe	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Xiaodi You - Shilin Xu	Xu S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.01.25	Xiaodi You - Alina Charaeva	2:0

Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide