Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Shenyang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Aliona Falei		Ayumi Koshiishi

	1	2
	1.45	2.55
	1.05	7.63	Watch
	1.4	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.56)	3.9 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliona Falei
74.7%

Ayumi Koshiishi
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliona Falei's performance.

Ayumi Koshiishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayumi Koshiishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliona Falei that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayumi Koshiishi than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayumi Koshiishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aliona Falei - Ayumi Koshiishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Falei is ranked WTA: 323. Koshiishi is ranked WTA: 414.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Koshiishi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Falei could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Aliona Falei - Yuhan Wang	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Aliona Falei - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Aliona Falei - Carmen Lopez Martinez	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Aliona Falei - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Aliona Falei - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Ayumi Koshiishi
ITF Tournaments
15.09.25	Yidi Yang - Ayumi Koshiishi	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Yufei Ren - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Kallista Liu - Ayumi Koshiishi	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Ayumi Koshiishi	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hikaru Sato - Ayumi Koshiishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW

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