Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Alisa Oktiabreva		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.74
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.33	2.9
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	2.79 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alisa Oktiabreva
66.7%

Federica Urgesi
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alisa Oktiabreva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alisa Oktiabreva's form might have worsened.

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federica Urgesi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alisa Oktiabreva than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Alisa Oktiabreva - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oktiabreva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oktiabreva is ranked WTA: 331. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 438.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oktiabreva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oktiabreva is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alisa Oktiabreva
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Sandra Samir	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Clara Vlasselaer - Alisa Oktiabreva	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Hannah Klugman - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Ksenia Zaytseva - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Dune Vaissaud	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Amelia Rajecki	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Eva Bennemann - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

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