Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Alisa Oktiabreva		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.19	1.61
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.26	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alisa Oktiabreva
42.2%

Nikola Bartunkova
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alisa Oktiabreva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alisa Oktiabreva than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alisa Oktiabreva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikola Bartunkova than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikola Bartunkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alisa Oktiabreva - Nikola Bartunkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oktiabreva will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bartunkova will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oktiabreva is ranked WTA: 303. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 251.

Oktiabreva is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bartunkova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bartunkova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Bartunkova will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alisa Oktiabreva
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Alisa Oktiabreva - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Susan Bandecchi - Alisa Oktiabreva	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Alisa Oktiabreva - Aneta Kucmova	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Jasmijn Gimbrere - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Sohyun Park - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Nikola Bartunkova
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Julia Grabher - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Laura Mair - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW

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