Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan (South Korea), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Kim S. (Kor)


	Altug Celikbilek		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.97	1.86
	1.97	1.87
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.1)	1.81 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altug Celikbilek
48.4%

Alibek Kachmazov
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altug Celikbilek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altug Celikbilek than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altug Celikbilek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Altug Celikbilek - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Celikbilek will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celikbilek: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Celikbilek is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kachmazov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celikbilek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kachmazov to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Celikbilek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altug Celikbilek
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Sanhui Shin - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Suk Ann - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Altug Celikbilek - Kenny De Schepper	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Altug Celikbilek - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Richard Berankis - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Adrien Gobat	Kachmazov A. walkover ✺
27.03.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Hugo Soares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Altug Celikbilek	1:2

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