Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VINA DEL MAR (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Alvaro Lopez San Martin		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.46	1.32
	3.22	1.31	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.99)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Lopez San Martin
29.2%

Luciano Darderi
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Lopez San Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez San Martin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Darderi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lopez San Martin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Lopez San Martin
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Cristobal Castro	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Luciano Darderi - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Luciano Darderi - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.23	Luciano Darderi - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

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