Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Alvaro Lopez San Martin		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.55	2.38
	1.55	2.51
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.43	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.78)	2.38 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Lopez San Martin
60.7%

Mikhail Kukushkin
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Lopez San Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvaro Lopez San Martin's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvaro Lopez San Martin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: Alvaro Lopez San Martin will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lopez San Martin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lopez San Martin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Lopez San Martin
ATP Challenger
03.04.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	2:1 ✺
27.03.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Eduard Esteve Lobato	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
03.04.23	Gabriel Debru - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Kenny De Schepper	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
20.03.23	Altug Celikbilek - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Liam Broady - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide