Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday


	Gabriel Debru		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.1	1.7
	2.05	1.8
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Debru
45.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Debru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriel Debru's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Debru than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Debru, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Gabriel Debru - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Debru will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Debru: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Debru is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kukushkin is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kukushkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kukushkin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Debru
ATP Challenger
01.03.23	Dan Added - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Gabriel Debru	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Tao Mu - Gabriel Debru	0:2 ✺
23.02.23	Niccolo Baroni - Gabriel Debru	Baroni N. retired ✺
22.02.23	Andrea Bolla - Gabriel Debru	Bolla A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLW??
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Kenny De Schepper	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
20.03.23	Altug Celikbilek - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Liam Broady - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWL?

Gabriel Debru - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide