Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MASPALOMAS (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Alvaro Lopez San Martin		Svyatoslav Gulin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.21
	1.64	2.22
	1.57	2.25
	1.66	2.13	Watch
	1.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.44)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Lopez San Martin
57.7%

Svyatoslav Gulin
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Lopez San Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvaro Lopez San Martin's form might have worsened.

Svyatoslav Gulin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Svyatoslav Gulin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvaro Lopez San Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Svyatoslav Gulin than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Svyatoslav Gulin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Svyatoslav Gulin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lopez San Martin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gulin will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gulin: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lopez San Martin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lopez San Martin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lopez San Martin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Lopez San Martin
ATP Challenger
26.11.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Saul Romero	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.10.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Alejandro Melero Kretzer	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Iliyan Radulov	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Svyatoslav Gulin
ATP Challenger
26.11.23	Georgii Kravchenko - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.11.23	Marco Trungelliti - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
16.11.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Svyatoslav Gulin	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Ignacio Parisca - Svyatoslav Gulin	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Svyatoslav Gulin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.01.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0
29.09.22	Svyatoslav Gulin - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	1:2

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Svyatoslav Gulin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide