Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Alyssa Reguer		Ekaterina Perelygina

	1	2
	2.84	1.37
	3.11	1.33
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.03	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alyssa Reguer
30.7%

Ekaterina Perelygina
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alyssa Reguer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ekaterina Perelygina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alyssa Reguer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Perelygina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Alyssa Reguer - Ekaterina Perelygina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reguer is ranked WTA: 589. Perelygina is ranked WTA: 683.

Reguer is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Perelygina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Reguer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Perelygina is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alyssa Reguer
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Ustiniya Lekomtseva - Alyssa Reguer	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Marianne Argyrokastriti - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Ava Hrastar - Alyssa Reguer	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gabriela Knutson - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWL
- Ekaterina Perelygina
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Carolyn Ansari	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Ustiniya Lekomtseva	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Ekaterina Perelygina	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Ekaterina Perelygina	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Ekaterina Perelygina - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLL

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