Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Ustiniya Lekomtseva		Alyssa Reguer

	1	2
	2.46	1.47	Watch
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	3.04	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (1.83)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ustiniya Lekomtseva
33.4%

Alyssa Reguer
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ustiniya Lekomtseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ustiniya Lekomtseva's form might have worsened.

Alyssa Reguer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alyssa Reguer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ustiniya Lekomtseva than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ustiniya Lekomtseva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alyssa Reguer than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alyssa Reguer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ustiniya Lekomtseva - Alyssa Reguer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reguer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lekomtseva is ranked WTA: 1050. Reguer is ranked WTA: 588.

Lekomtseva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Reguer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Reguer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alyssa Reguer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ustiniya Lekomtseva
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Anna Kubareva - Ustiniya Lekomtseva	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Laima Vladson - Ustiniya Lekomtseva	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Ingkar Dyussebay - Ustiniya Lekomtseva	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Ustiniya Lekomtseva - Zoziya Kardava	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Ustiniya Lekomtseva - Chenting Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWLWL
- Alyssa Reguer
ITF Tournaments
09.09.25	Greetje Minnen - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Marianne Argyrokastriti - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Ava Hrastar - Alyssa Reguer	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gabriela Knutson - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Alyssa Reguer - Judith Perello Saavedra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

Ustiniya Lekomtseva - Alyssa Reguer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide