Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Amit Vales		Ignacio Parisca

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.54	1.51
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.49
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.57)	1.48 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
37.3%

Ignacio Parisca
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Parisca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Parisca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Parisca than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Parisca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Amit Vales - Ignacio Parisca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vales will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Parisca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 588. Parisca is ranked ATP: 737.

Vales is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Parisca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parisca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Amit Vales - Vardan Manukyan	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Amit Vales - Oskari Paldanius	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Arvid Nordquist - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Amit Vales - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Amit Vales - Zach Stephens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- Ignacio Parisca
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Viktor Kirov - Ignacio Parisca	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Ignacio Parisca - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Alexander Ritschard - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ignacio Parisca - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Xavi Palomar - Ignacio Parisca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

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