Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Turku, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Arvid Nordquist		Amit Vales

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
	2.43	1.50
	2.73	1.47
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.26)	1.45 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arvid Nordquist
35.9%

Amit Vales
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arvid Nordquist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arvid Nordquist than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arvid Nordquist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amit Vales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arvid Nordquist - Amit Vales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nordquist is ranked ATP: 834. Vales is ranked ATP: 679.

Nordquist has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vales is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nordquist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vales could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Vales will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arvid Nordquist
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Markus Molder - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Romain Andres - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Stian Klaassen - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Valentin Lapalu - Arvid Nordquist	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Martin Borisiouk - Arvid Nordquist	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLL
- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Amit Vales - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Amit Vales - Zach Stephens	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Amit Vales - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alex Martinez - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

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