Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 6, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Amit Vales		James Story

	1	2
	3.5	1.24
	3.64	1.25
	3.62	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.54	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.36)	1.25 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
25.7%

James Story
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Story's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James Story, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amit Vales - James Story Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 905. Story is ranked ATP: 579.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Story may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Story is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Amit Vales - Stephanos Schinas	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Matthew Summers - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Amit Vales - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Amit Vales - Dimitris Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Andres Martin - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- James Story
ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Ioannis Xilas - James Story	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Giles Hussey - James Story	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Harry Wendelken - James Story	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	James Story - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	James Story - Tuncay Duran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

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